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What Are the Odds?: A Statistical Guide to Certainty in an Uncertain World
From bar bets to Nobel Prizes, viral outbreaks to lottery wins, how statistics shapes our choices, reveals hidden truths, and guides us toward certainty in uncertain times.
We live in an uncertain world. Morning commutes, natural disasters, global pandemics--our lives are riddled with events whose outcomes we can never know with certainty. In What Are the Odds? Mark Prell reveals how statistical thinking empowers us to navigate this uncertainty with clarity and confidence. Whether weighing the benefits of different medications or deciding if home insurance is worth the steep cost, Prell shows that just as important as asking what the data says is asking how reliable it is. Describing the core concepts and methods of statistical thinking, he teaches us how to extract meaningful information from raw data, and crucially, to recognize data that's been cherry-picked, fabricated, or is simply wrong. As we ask if survey responses are truthful, estimate the number of deaths from the Covid pandemic, and plan for retirement, we develop a skill set to test and update our assumptions, to make more accurate forecasts, and above all, to assess the certainty of our conclusions. Through unforgettable stories of statistical ingenuity, Prell demonstrates that the underlying math can be intuitive and even fun. And as he turns us all into statisticians, he reminds us that statistics is about more than manipulating data--it's about joining a community of statisticians committed to truth and integrity. -
Monster Jam: Thunderroarus Unleashed! a Board Book with Wheels
It's time to tear it up with this special board book with wheels featuring Monster Jam's fiercest truck: ThunderROARus!
ThunderROARus is ready to break his biggest record yet! Can this fearsome truck defeat the competition and jump over a whopping NINE trucks? Watch this spectacular truck defy gravity in this original Monster Jam story!
Using this unique board format including wheels, kids can read the book and drive their own ThunderROARus monster truck!
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Lifelines: Searching for Home in the Mountains of Greece
"A book that will refresh your soul."--Carol Drinkwater, author of The Olive Farm: A Memoir of Life, Love, and Olive Oil in the South of France
A story of shelter, generosity and welcome--and a courageous leap into a new life.
In the summer of 2000, Julian Hoffman and his wife Julia found themselves disillusioned with city life. Overwhelmed by long commutes, they stumbled upon a book about Prespa, Greece--a remote corner of Europe filled with stone villages, snow-capped mountains and wildlife, which they would soon call home.
Prespa is a crossroads. Where three countries come together around two huge lakes, where limestone collides with granite and heat-pulsing Mediterranean ecosystems meet their colder, Balkan relatives. Here, languages, wartime histories and rivers converge, and pelicans, bears and people leave their footprints on the water's edge--next to unexploded bombs.
Lifelines is not only the tale of a courageous leap into a new life, but of seasons punctuated by unforgettable encounters, from a stare-down with a bear surrounded by spring wildflowers to a deep-winter meeting with fourteen wrens sheltering above a frozen doorway. And into this place encircled by mountains, Julian seamlessly weaves an intricate web of stories - of conflict and possibility; of refuge lost and found; of the wild lifelines that connect us all as we move through the world seeking a home. -
Willieboy Eats the World: A Children's Picture Book
WILLIEBOY EATS THE WORLD is a children's book that answers the question every parent has asked: what do you tell children who won't try new things?
Actor and best-selling author Steve Schirripa yields center stage to his adorable real-life dachshund WillieBoy in this New York City-based fantasy. It was inspired by the viral videos the two have become famous for, with Steve and WillieBoy chowing down on everything from pizza to churros. In WillieBoy Eats the World, Steve admits that he only eats Italian food because it's all that he knows--so WillieBoy teaches him the joy of trying Chinese, Thai, Mexican, Korean, and dozens of other delights. WillieBoy promises: "Trust me, my pal, you'll be glad that I sent ya / On this great big fabulous dining adventure."
The book is cowritten by author and journalist Philip Lerman, and illustrated by veteran artist Kirk Parrish.
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Problem of Personhood: Giving Rights to Trees, Corporations and Robots
SHOULD NONHUMANS HAVE RIGHTS IN LAW AND POLITICS? Over the last twenty-five years, the concept of per-sonhood has become central to many contentious debates. Corporations have won free speech protections, as if they were individuals. The right to life or freedom has been claimed on behalf of fetuses, trees, and elephants. The fund of human rights is spilling over into the nonhuman. The Problem of Personhood reveals the unsettling consequences of granting rights to imagined persons, such as Sophia the robot citizen or New Zealand's Whanganui River. Synthesizing the political and philosophical debates on personhood and drawing on a varied cast of thinkers that includes Simone Weil, Hannah Arendt, and Dr. Seuss, Lisa Siraganian uncovers the disturbing impact of this contemporary development. Awarding rights to robots and rivers all too easily becomes a legal tool to turn people into capital. When robot Sophia is made a citizen, "she" is transformed into a subject in the law without the corresponding legal duties that protect us from her. At the root of this trend is the US Supreme Court's Citizens United ruling that grants First Amendment rights to corporations as if they were individuals. The result has not been the transformation of things into humans so much as humans into things, when animals and the environment would be better protected with reference to our humanity rather than to theirs. -
Sold outExca-Gator
He's an alligator . . . he operates an excavator . . . he is EXCA-GATOR! An adorable picture book perfect for fans of Goodnight, Goodnight Construction Site and Crocodiles Need Kisses Too! In the deepest jungle swamp,
Where the beasties howl and stomp,
From a little swamp home door,
Comes a mighty gator ROAR! Exca-Gator is so excited for a new day of building and constructing with all of his buds! He may be even a little too excited, when he overestimates his abilities and causes a big old construction site mess. Can Exca-Gator make things right with his friends and save the day? Told in rhythmic bouncing rhyme from Brooke Hartman and with gorgeous playful art from prolific picture book illustrator Michael Slack, this book is a can't-miss pick for any young readers who love books about construction vehicles and adorable animals.Sold out -
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Beatles: Baby Edition (a Little Golden Book Biography)
Babies, meet the Beatles! This board book edition of the best-selling Little Golden Book Biography has shorter, simpler text that's just right for the littlest fans! Introduce babies and toddlers to one of the greatest bands of all time. Follow John, Paul, George, and Ringo from their humble beginnings in Liverpool to the rise of Beatlemania and their unforgettable first trip to the United States. With simplified text and sturdy board pages, this book is perfect for reading again and again. Makes a great baby shower gift! -
Sold outThank You Letter to My Teacher
I am thankful to my teacher for helping me be the best I can be!
In this heartwarming picture book, children thank their teachers for laugh-out-loud days and trail-blazing subjects. They're thankful for teachers who point out the possibilities, celebrate differences, pay attention to the details, and go above and beyond.
A Thank You Letter to My Teacher celebrates a wide variety of teaching styles and school experiences from a group of diverse children. A celebration of those who help kids learn, it's the perfect book for every teacher at the start of the year, end of the year, or anytime in between!
My teacher inspires me to
be curious,
take chances, make discoveries,
be open to mistakes...
And always leave room for improvement.
OOPS!
That means pointing out what is possible,
seeing the big picture,
and paying attention to the details.
SPLAT SPLAT, SPLAT!
I am thankful to my teacher
for thoughtful tips.
memorable match-ups.
and strengthening my skills...
to showcase and shine!
POOF!
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Fun to Find!: Let's Go Outside
Every page is a new outdoor adventure filled with fun things for toddlers to search for and find!
Can you spot all 10 hidden items in each colorful scene that shows fun activities to do outside? This Fun to Find! board book invites little ones on an amazing journey to all kinds of places packed with things to see and explore. Whether they're searching for a watering can in a backyard garden, 3 seashells at the beach, or cotton candy at a carnival, kids are sure to find the fun in this search and find book for kids.
10 search-the-page puzzles--Perfect for at-home or on-the-go play, this colorful activity book for kids will keep them engaged, entertained, and learning.
Adorable illustrations--Little ones will love searching for a huge variety of items in each cute and detailed scene--and the sturdy board book format is perfect for little hands to hold.
Independent learning--Vibrant art with easy-to-identify objects give young kids an opportunity to read and play on their own or have someone read with them.
Are you ready for some search-and-find fun? You never know what you'll discover!
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Rebel English Academy
"Unnervingly funny and subversive . . . this account of life under authoritarian siege is fiercely local and incontestably universal, harrowing and mutinously entertaining: a sure-fire Booker contender."--The Guardian
From the brilliant Booker-longlisted Mohammed Hanif comes a lively, rich novel about the power of language, friendship, and protest in the face of political turmoil
When Pakistan's first elected Prime Minister Zulfikar Ali Bhutto is hanged, the people of OK Town refuse to believe he is dead and fight to bring him back.
In the heart of the city, Sir Baghi is surprised by a knock at the door of the Rebel English Academy, his tuition center offering affordable English lessons. An unexpected visitor, Sabiha, seeks refuge at the Academy--her husband has just died in a house fire, and she is suspected of killing him, although she insists she only ran away from a burning building. Baghi encourages Sabiha to write, and a lifetime of secrets begin to unspool on the page.
Meanwhile Captain Gul, a disgraced intelligence officer, has been banished to OK Town, where he aims to squash the protesters wanting to bring Bhutto back from the dead. But his duties and romantic desires begin to overlap, and his already dubious power is threatened.
In Rebel English Academy, Pakistan is struggling under martial law after the execution of its former leader. Mohammed Hanif has constructed a vibrant cast of interconnected characters who face this changing landscape with violence, passion, and sharp humor. Wry, searing, and deeply relevant, Rebel English Academy is a triumphant new novel about political power, religion, education, sexuality, and perpetual dissent.
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Sold outNowhere Beast
In the sequel to darkly inventive The Labyrinth of Souls, a girl must face a mysterious monster made of nothing but darkness and shadows that no one else can see. For fans of Tim Burton, V.E. Schwab, and stories with a dash of the strange and macabre. Ix Tatterfall is no stranger to the odd and the eerie. Her unusual lineage provides unique abilities, such as a strong Darklight power and unencumbered travel into the deadly Labyrinth of Souls. But even Ix is unprepared for the Nowhere Beast, a creature that threatens to consume everything she holds dear. When the ghosts of Candle Corps past begin to rise from the catacombs, Ix and her friends are called to partake in an ancient magical tradition called the Reckoning, meant to reinforce the seals of protection at their magical school that hold the most dangerous Nightmare creatures from the Labyrinth at bay. But the Reckoning quickly transforms into more than a test of their courage and skill; it is a race against time to save their world from the monstrous shadow beast created from the hopeless depths of Nothing from a land called Nowhere. With the help of a mischievous Sorrow, a shadowy Scavenger Prince, and her loyal friends, Ix must navigate the pits of loneliness and confront her deepest fears. But does she know that the darkness inside her heart can be just as treacherous as the monster lurking in the shadows?Sold out -
Peek-A-Clue: Safari Animals: An Animal Guessing Game
Guessing game meets board book in this fun, interactive reading experience for little ones, featuring three mystery animals found on a safari! With unique cut-outs on each page, every turn reveals a bit more of the mystery animal--from a crocodile to an elephant to a zebra! Simple, rhyming text and bold, playful art clue young readers in on the critters in question. Little ones will love flipping through and making guesses! -
Dreaded Pox: Sex and Disease in Early Modern London
In the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries, venereal disease, or the 'pox, ' was a dreaded diagnosis throughout Europe. Its ghastly marks, along with their inexorable link to sex, were so stigmatizing that it was commonly called 'the secret disease.' How do we capture everyday experiences of a disease that so few people admitted having? Olivia Weisser's remarkable history invites readers into the teeming, vibrant pox-riddled streets of early modern London. She uncovers the lives of the poxed elite as well as of the maidservants and prostitutes who left few words behind, showing how marks of the disease offered a language for expressing acts that were otherwise unutterable. This new history of sex, stigma, and daily urban life takes readers down alleys where healers peddled their tinctures, enters kitchens and gardens where ordinary sufferers made cures, and listens in on intimate exchanges between patients and healers in homes and in taverns. -
Healing Through Wonder: How Awe Restores Us After Trauma and Loss
Val Walker's profound journey through trauma and spiritual exploration is both heart-wrenching and inspiring. This book beautifully captures the resilience of the human spirit and the transformative power of connection and awe. A must-read for anyone seeking healing and understanding. -- Shari Botwin, LCSW, author of Thriving After Trauma and Stolen Childhoods
Homeless, running from a violent partner, and battling suicidal depression, she found herself sitting by a river holding a bottle of pills in one hand and a bottle of red wine to wash them down in the other. Out of the twilight sky a majestic blue heron circled and landed just a few feet away. Something in the heron's piercing eyes caused her to stop swallowing the pills. In that moment, she realized that there was just too much beauty and magic in the world to give up. Thus began a decades long quest to understand how wondrous encounters can spark healing from trauma and grief. This inspiring guide shares healing stories sparked by wondrous experiences and unpacks the neuroscience that explains how wonder helps our brains and bodies heal.
Val Walker's story of healing began in her darkest moment.